Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.000064 0.000076 0.000089 0.000105 0.000122 0.000140 0.000161
2025-04-06 0.000047 0.000062 0.000080 0.000102 0.000129 0.000159 0.000195
2025-04-13 0.000040 0.000057 0.000079 0.000106 0.000140 0.000179 0.000228
2025-04-20 0.000032 0.000049 0.000072 0.000103 0.000141 0.000188 0.000248
2025-04-27 0.000026 0.000044 0.000068 0.000102 0.000146 0.000200 0.000270
2025-05-04 0.000022 0.000040 0.000065 0.000102 0.000150 0.000212 0.000293
2025-05-11 0.000020 0.000039 0.000066 0.000105 0.000160 0.000230 0.000324
2025-05-18 0.000017 0.000036 0.000064 0.000106 0.000165 0.000242 0.000348
2025-05-25 0.000014 0.000032 0.000059 0.000102 0.000164 0.000247 0.000361
2025-06-01 0.000012 0.000029 0.000057 0.000102 0.000167 0.000256 0.000380
2025-06-08 0.000010 0.000027 0.000055 0.000101 0.000171 0.000266 0.000400
2025-06-15 0.000009 0.000025 0.000054 0.000102 0.000175 0.000277 0.000423
2025-06-22 0.000008 0.000023 0.000051 0.000101 0.000178 0.000287 0.000444
2025-06-29 0.000006 0.000020 0.000048 0.000099 0.000179 0.000293 0.000461
2025-07-06 0.000006 0.000020 0.000049 0.000102 0.000188 0.000313 0.000496
2025-07-13 0.000004 0.000017 0.000046 0.000099 0.000187 0.000316 0.000509
2025-07-20 0.000004 0.000016 0.000044 0.000098 0.000190 0.000325 0.000529
2025-07-27 0.000003 0.000015 0.000042 0.000098 0.000193 0.000335 0.000551
2025-08-03 0.000003 0.000014 0.000043 0.000102 0.000202 0.000355 0.000587
2025-08-10 0.000002 0.000014 0.000042 0.000102 0.000207 0.000367 0.000613
2025-08-17 0.000002 0.000012 0.000039 0.000099 0.000205 0.000369 0.000623
2025-08-24 0.000001 0.000011 0.000038 0.000098 0.000207 0.000377 0.000644
2025-08-31 0.000001 0.000010 0.000037 0.000097 0.000210 0.000387 0.000665